Google Trends: Rapture vs “World End May 21″
The Rapture (in blue) beats “World End May 21″ (red) — at least on Google Trends. What chance did Harold Camping’s end of days have versus 2000 years of Armageddon fear mongering? The Rapture folk know the first rule of forecasting — hence the indefinite date for the World’s end versus getting too specific. Coming...
End of Worlders: Classic Game Theory Error
There is an Evangelist named Harold Camping, who claims the world will end tomorrow. He has violated the first rule of forecasting: You can give a price target ($0) or a date (tomorrow) but never both at once. Besides, the end of world forecast carries additional risks. People have been making Armageddon forecasts for, like,...
Climate Skeptic Pat Michaels Funding 40% Comes From Oil Industry
Notorious climate skeptic Pat Michaels of the CATO Institute finally admitted openly on CNN this weekend that 40 percent of his funding comes from – wait for it – Big Oil. Michaels’ admission that he receives around 40 percent of his funding from Big Oil is important, because he is quoted widely in the media...
Keynes = Passé
Apropos of our earlier Volcker discussion, consider this classic an indictment of the Business Schools Tall Paul referenced: > Via Amptoons Hat tip Jay H
Whatever Happened to that Apple iPhone Recall?
“If the current betting trends are to be believed, it now seems certain that a recall is in the cards” -Paddy Power, Irelands Biggest Bookmaker July 14, 2010 press release > Speaking of dumb bets: Its time to revisit a recent prediction market “winner,” and review the strengths and weaknesses of these markets: Recall this...
CrowdQuery: What of Keynes?
“If you were going to turn to only one economist to understand the problems facing the economy, there is little doubt that the economist would be John Maynard Keynes. Although Keynes died more than a half-century ago, his diagnosis of recessions and depressions remains the foundation of modern macroeconomics.” -N. GREGORY MANKIW > In today’s...
More Poverty = More Religion
Religion has a surprisingly high correlation with poverty, according to a Gallup survey conducted in more than 100 countries. The more poverty a nation has, the higher the “religiosity” in that nation. In general, richer countries are less religious than poorer ones. The biggest exception? The United States, which has the highest religiosity relative to...
The Scientific Debate on Climate Change: Part 9, 10
9. Climate Change – Meet the Scientists
In response to several requests, I’ll put references in the video description rather than the body of the video:
In response to several requests, I’ll put references in the video description rather than the body of the video:
John Coleman listed as media graduate in 1957
University of Illinois Alumni...
The Scientific Debate on Climate Change: Part 7, 8, 8a
7. Climate Change – “Those” e-mails and science censorship
Are climatologists censoring scientific journals and silencing alternative hypotheses on climate change? This is the second part of my look at the hacked/stolen e-mails from the Climatic Research Unit in the UK. I welcome intelligent opinions in the forum, but please refrain from posting the same inane...
The Scientific Debate on Climate Change: Part 4, 5, 6
Here is the follow up to Climate Change: The Scientific Debate:
4. Climate Change — Gore vs. Durkin
This video, the fourth in my Climate Change series, looks at urban myths spawned by two iconic films — An Inconvenient Truth and The Great Global Warming Swindle. Whatever you “believe” about climate change, there is no excuse...
Special report: Living in denial
New Scientist: Special report: Living in denial:
STATE OF DENIAL
From climate change to vaccines, evolution to flu, denialists are on the march. Why are so many people refusing to accept what the evidence is telling them?
In this special feature we look at the phenomenon in depth. What is denial? What...
Solving the Climate Debate
Here is a fascinating suggestion — from an economist, yet — on how to reconcile the debate between those who believe Global Warming is real and man-made, versus those who don’t:
“To end this political stalemate, Dr. McKitrick proposes calling each side’s bluff. He suggests imposing financial penalties on carbon emissions that would be set according...
