Sorted Weekly Tweets
Eurozone Danske Bank’s Patience With Moody’s Evaporates http://t.co/eGbf3kV5 Questions over willingness of Denmark to provide support in a crisis. May 11, 2012 CIC Stops Buying Europe Government Debt on Crisis Concern http://t.co/dljk9Tau Overblown; China will return to funding the Eurozone $$ May 10, 2012 Greeks May Hold $510 Billion Trump Card in Renegotiation http://t.co/P7U4LSpG...
Sorted Weekly Tweets
Market Dynamics On Paradigm Shifts http://t.co/h68quEDX Hunter takes us through mental exercises 2 make us intelligently contrarian. “Invert, Always Invert” May 02, 2012 Hedgers’ net short position vanishes in US oil http://t.co/X0hLOWGB Commercial interests do not fear lower prices, could be bullish 4 crude May 02, 2012 There’s Plenty of Money for Junk http://t.co/vXML0Bao...
Redacted Version of the April 2012 FOMC Statement
March 2012 April 2012 Comments Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. No real change. Labor market conditions have improved further; the unemployment rate...
Redacted Version of the April 2012 FOMC Statement
March 2012 April 2012 Comments Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. No real change. Labor market conditions have improved further; the unemployment rate...
Sorted Weekly Tweets
Busy week last week. Here’s the economic and other news: =-=-=-=-=-=–=-=-==-=-=-==-=-=-=-=–==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- China Bloomberg: Inflated Notions http://t.co/hvMoIFH6 Patrick Chovanec questions whether Chinese economic statistics are correct. $$ Apr 22, 2012 China’s Political Stability Questioned, while Deposit Withdrawals Accelerate http://t.co/X9kJ9oZb Deposits exit China’s banks; many worry $$ Apr 22, 2012 Asia dominates new treasury purchases http://t.co/BXvgGQRi...
Sorted Weekly Tweets
Valuations High Yield Closed End Funds 68% over NAV, 3% avg premium. Loan Participation CEFs 40% over NAV, -1% avg discount. Conditions r medium hot $$ Apr 07, 2012 Why Stocks Look Too Pricey http://t.co/TWqZzGg3 Various Indicators Suggest the Market Is No Longer a Bargain, at best fairly valued $$ Apr 07, 2012 Contra:...
Easy in, Hard out
My view is that there is no such thing as a free lunch, not even for governments or central banks. Any action taken may have benefits, but also imposes costs, even if those costs are imposed upon others. So it is for the Fed. At the beginning of 2008, they had a small, clean, low...
Sorted Weekly Tweets
China China’s first bond default could be good market medicine http://t.co/8ShFniYM Bond trader: “We don’t really have a credit risk culture.” $$ Mar 31, 2012 Is China’s slowdown worse than previously estimated? http://t.co/CkZw8tLK Could b business conditions that are worst since 2009. $$ Mar 31, 2012 China Banks Said to Underestimate Local Government...
Industry Ranks March 2012
I’m working on my quarterly reshaping — where I choose new companies to enter my portfolio. The first part of this is industry analysis. My main industry model is illustrated in the graphic. Green industries are cold. Red industries are hot. If you like to play momentum, look at the red zone, and ask the...
Book Review: Pandora’s Risk
This is two books in one, and very well done. The main part of the book explains risk and uncertainty in general terms, such that most people can understand it. But for those that can deal with complex math, the latter part of the book offers a lot of additional firepower. Risk is a tough...
Sorted Weekly Tweets
I am considering making this an end-of-the-week feature as a news recap. Comments? Financials BofA’s Clash With Fannie Intensifies as Insurers Reject More Loan Claims http://t.co/fKgxwcVO Originators need to bear UW error results $$ Mar 03, 2012 Life as Libor Traders Knew It Seen as Abusive http://t.co/H5o5cH3G An inside look at the problems...
Difficult Decision
We would all like our practical decisions to go easily, and bear quick positive results. That’s not reality. As for me, I needed to decide whether I would: borrow against my home at 3% for 15 years. liquidate a portion of my taxable brokerage account liquidate shares in best private manufacturer of commercial lawn mowers...
