S&P 500 RALLY GETTING RISKIER BY THE WEEK
The S&P 500 rally continues unabated, although it has shown some signs of wear and tear given the less-than-hoped for volume patterns as well as advance/decline patterns. However, it is clear that this type of market condition does not preclude prices from moving higher and forming major negative divergences over time. Presently, we should note...
SILVER RIPE FOR TRADING AGAIN
With all the press centering in upon Gold gains recently +10%, Silver has risen by +19% - thereby outperforming the yellow metal by +9%. Silver - the poor man's good; now looks rather ripe for trading once again. This is as it should be in a metals bull market - silver should always outperform gold....
STARTING OFF WITH A BANG
The 2012 trading year has begun with a "bang" to be sure. In terms of the S&P 500, we find that 16 of the 23 trading sessions have traded to the upside, with no losing session down more than -8 points or -0.6%. This is rather "one-sided", and it gives rise to thoughts that a...
METALS STILL BULLISH
Since the beginning of the year, we've seen both Gold ($GOLD) and her sister metal Silver ($SILVER) rally; but we've seen Gold under-perform during this rally. This is exactly what should take place in a metals bull market. But that said, the Gold/Silver Ratio remains at a very critical area in our opinion, for up...
DOWNSIDE VIOLENCE IN THE GOLD MARKET
The downside violence in the Gold market as abated for the the time being given the reallocation and repositioning for the New Year. There are many the recent drop is sufficiently of the cathartic-type that will send prices to all-time highs, for we all know that "all the current roads lead to inflation - at...
SILVER POISED TO OUTPERFORM AGAIN
Last week, the world's stock markets cheered the coordinated central bank efforts to supply dollar liquidity to the world banking system via lower than market rates. This clearly resulted in a "risk-on" trade across the board, and we expect more to follow in the weeks ahead as the ECB lower rates, and China moves quickly...
BULLISH CONSOLIDATION FOR LIGHT CRUDE
Over the past three months, we've seen the West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures ($WTIC) rise from low of $75/barrel to a high of $102/barrel, which is a rather large move in a very short period of time in what many consider to be a modest "risk-on" environment. Certainly the other commodity complexes have no...
SUSTAINED RALLY IN THE FUTURE?
Quite simply, the past 5-week rally has been breathtaking, but it remains to be seen whether it has "legs" of whether it does not. It is of our opinion, that it "does have legs", and it does so given the Financials (XLF) are rallying...but more importantly - the Homebuilders (XHB) are leading the rally. And,...
HAS GOLD REACHED ITS PEAK?
The month of September has not been kind to Gold; and the question before everyone is whether or not gold has seen its highs for an intermediate period or whether a brief pause before higher highs are forged. We are of the opinion of the former rather than the latter, but we remain gold bulls...
CURRENT S&P 500 RALLY IN TROUBLE?
Over the past 6-weeks, we've seen the S&P 500 trade in a large sideways pattern between 1220 and 1100; we find this eerily reminiscent of a bearish pattern that will resolve itself to new lows. Certainly this is our viewpoint; and we believe the supporting technicals in the US Dollar Index ($USD)confirm our belief. Quite...
THE BEGINNING OF A BEAR MARKET?
The recent volatility is enough to make one step back, put your money aside - and reassess. In fact, this is what both institutional and individual investors have done over the past 3-weeks as money withdrawn from funds has significantly increased - even more so than at the March-2009 panic low. Perhaps this is part...
THE BEAUTY LIES IN THE RELATIVE TRADE…
Last week, and so far this week the stock market has traded rather dismal to be sure, with the S&P 500 trading lower in 8 of the past 9 trading sessions. However, regardless of this weakness, we've begun to see slow, but sure movements beneath the surface that warrant our trading attention. To wit, the...

